Deutsche Bank strategist Parag Thatte says the rotation into tech that began in
late July still has room to run. Since late July, large-cap growth and tech
names are up about 14% while the rest of the S&P 500 is down roughly 3%. Their
relative performance has moved into the upper half of its long-term trend
channel but has not reached the top. Positioning in large-cap growth and tech is
about 0.8 standard deviations above neutral — a clear overweight but well below
prior peaks (early June hit the 99th percentile). Single-stock options activity
has surged in large-cap growth and tech, followed by consumer cyclicals,
industrial cyclicals and defensives; energy volumes have fallen, while materials
and financials are around average. Deutsche Bank says the rotation is in a
deeper phase but still has room, and reiterates that rate volatility, not the
level of rates, remains the key variable for equities.