Oil price jump and rising global yields have triggered renewed foreign selling
of Indian assets, reversing recent inflows. Foreign investors have net sold $2.1
billion of Indian equities this month after two months of buying; index-eligible
Indian sovereign bonds have seen $1.1 billion of net outflows and are on track
for the largest monthly withdrawal since March. Higher oil is weighing on the
rupee and boosting inflation, and India's heavy reliance on energy imports
narrows policy room. UBS India global markets head Gautam Chhaochharia said oil
will be the key determinant of further foreign flows; UBS expects Indian
equities to remain rangebound near term, with valuations, increased stock supply
and high oil prices likely to cap upside.