ECB chief economist Lane said in London on Thursday the energy-price shock from
the Middle East conflict has not materially transmitted to other parts of the
economy, so the ECB can respond 'prudently'. He said underlying inflation is
expected to pick up next year but there is no sign of any nonlinear acceleration
in inflation pressures. Wage rises embodied in current pay deals remain 'quite
modest', suggesting no clear wage–price spiral. He described the episode as a
medium-sized shock requiring a cautious, measured policy response.