Pantheon Macroeconomics chief markets economist Jonas Goltermann said in a note that US equities are showing increasing end‑of‑cycle signals and he expects a more sustained pullback over roughly the next year, accompanied by a decline in US Treasury yields. He added that despite two recent high inflation prints, market concern over the sustainability of the AI‑driven rally has eclipsed the inflation data. Goltermann noted this week’s simultaneous sharp falls in US stocks and Treasury yields—the

2026-10-16

Pantheon Macroeconomics chief markets economist Jonas Goltermann said in a note that US equities are showing increasing end‑of‑cycle signals and he expects a more sustained pullback over roughly the next year, accompanied by a decline in US Treasury yields. He added that despite two recent high inflation prints, market concern over the sustainability of the AI‑driven rally has eclipsed the inflation data. Goltermann noted this week’s simultaneous sharp falls in US stocks and Treasury yields—the first such move since the US‑Iran conflict began—matches the market pattern that can emerge when an AI boom starts to reverse.

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2026-10-16

Among the first 18 China active ETF filings with the CSRC, multiple products have revised names to more explicitly define investment scope and strategy, adding labels such as quantitative stock-picking, balanced allocation, large‑cap growth and dividend momentum. The CSRC received the 18 filings on July 17. Industry sources say names could be further adjusted prior to final approval. Several funds propose a dual‑manager model, typically splitting duties between a manager focused on stock selecti

2026-10-16

摩根士丹利预计,随着台积电扩大2纳米和1.4纳米先进制程产能,其2027年资本开支可能达到830亿美元,2028年进一步增至920亿美元。相比之下,台积电今年的资本开支目标为600亿至640亿美元。台积电管理层在第三季度财报电话会议上表示,计划到2027年将2纳米产能建设规模扩大至目前计划的两倍以上。盈利能力方面,台积电第三季度毛利率为66.4%,低于摩根士丹利预期的67.5%。公司第四季度毛利率指引中值为66%,摩根士丹利认为,这表明2纳米制程产能爬坡及海外业务扩张仍在持续对利润率构成压力。摩根士丹利维持台积电3088元新台币的目标价不变。