After Australia’s Q3 inflation release markets turned more hawkish on the Reserve Bank of Australia: implied odds of a next‑week hike to 4.85% rose to 85% from 69% pre-release. AUD/USD jumped to a five‑week high of 0.7055, about 1.6 US cents above the 15‑week low reached after weak Oct 15 employment data. AUD/NZD rose 2% to 1.26, a 13‑year high after the RBNZ unexpectedly left its policy rate at 2.75%. As of the five‑week period to Oct 20, AUD net short positions increased from 38,906 to 127,292

2026-10-28

After Australia’s Q3 inflation release markets turned more hawkish on the Reserve Bank of Australia: implied odds of a next‑week hike to 4.85% rose to 85% from 69% pre-release. AUD/USD jumped to a five‑week high of 0.7055, about 1.6 US cents above the 15‑week low reached after weak Oct 15 employment data. AUD/NZD rose 2% to 1.26, a 13‑year high after the RBNZ unexpectedly left its policy rate at 2.75%. As of the five‑week period to Oct 20, AUD net short positions increased from 38,906 to 127,292 contracts.