JP Morgan analysts say the U.S. Treasury may raise short-term borrowing in next week’s quarterly refunding plan. JP Morgan projects net marketable borrowing from private investors of $2.038t this year, rising to $2.202t in 2027. Bill and medium- to long-term Treasury auction sizes are expected to remain unchanged for now and increase from Aug 2027, with the 2- to 10-year sector likely to see the biggest bumps. JP Morgan expects short-term issuance to pick up earlier; excluding Fed purchases and

2026-10-28

JP Morgan analysts say the U.S. Treasury may raise short-term borrowing in next week’s quarterly refunding plan. JP Morgan projects net marketable borrowing from private investors of $2.038t this year, rising to $2.202t in 2027. Bill and medium- to long-term Treasury auction sizes are expected to remain unchanged for now and increase from Aug 2027, with the 2- to 10-year sector likely to see the biggest bumps. JP Morgan expects short-term issuance to pick up earlier; excluding Fed purchases and repo operations, privately held outstanding short-term Treasury bills would increase by $401bn in calendar 2026 and $991bn in 2027 — the largest short-term bill issuance since 2023.