Prior +2.2%; market consensus +3.2%. Institutional forecasts for US Q3 real GDP preliminary range from +1.0% (Pantheon Macroeconomics) to +4.2% (Mizuho). Selected forecasts: DBS Group +2.2%, TD Securities +2.5%, Barclays +2.6%, Moody's +2.8%, Jefferies +2.8%, BNP Paribas +3.1%, Citi +3.1%, Morgan Stanley +3.1%, Wells Fargo +3.2%, HSBC +3.3%, UBS +3.3%, Goldman Sachs +3.3%, Deutsche Bank +3.3%, Nomura +3.4%, JP Morgan +3.5%, BofA +3.5%.

The China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT) will hold its regular press briefing at 10:00 a.m. Beijing time on Oct. 30 in the CCPIT hall. Market-relevant agenda items include progress on preparations for the 2026 APEC Business Leaders’ Summit; CCPIT-organized Chinese business participation in the B20 summit in the United States; China–EU business and trade cooperation; preparatory work for the fifth Chain Expo; publication of new guidance to support firms’ outbound investment; service-trade standardization; the operational status of CCPIT’s trade–enterprise and trade–law communication platforms; and release of the August Global Trade Friction Index and CCPIT system commercial certification data for the first three quarters. Officials will take questions.

Preliminary election results suggesting a likely political deadlock sent Israeli equities and the shekel lower on Wednesday. The benchmark TA-35 fell about 3% intraday; the broader TA-125 dropped more than 3%. The shekel eased 2.3% to 3.1230 per dollar. Financials and real estate shares led losses. Preliminary forecasts show no major bloc with a parliamentary majority. Saxo Bank said the election uncertainty, alongside renewed US–Iran tensions, raises geopolitical risk and could threaten diplomatic mediation; markets remain highly sensitive to further Middle East developments.