An ECB official, Siegmann, said the bank could raise rates as soon as its next
policy meeting and called gradual monetary tightening appropriate. He said the
energy shock has lasted longer than expected and the euro area is now in the
ECB’s adverse forecast scenario. Rising energy prices raise the risk of higher
inflation while weighing on growth; higher bond yields and falling equities
reflect tighter financial conditions. Gradual rate increases, he argued, help
preserve policy space. The ECB remains committed to stabilizing medium-term
inflation at 2% and will set rates based on incoming data, inflation
expectations and the risk environment. He added that prolonged conflicts in the
Middle East and Ukraine pose downside risks to growth. The Croatian central bank
expects national growth of about 2.5% this year, roughly three times the
euro-area average.