Macquarie FX and rates strategist Thierry Wizman says traders should prepare for a round of rate hikes in December. He assigns a subjective ~80% probability to a BOJ hike, ~66% to an ECB move and ~50% to a Fed hike, warning French instability could complicate ECB action as the bank may need to ensure France can continue to access capital markets. Wizman adds AI-driven capital spending should sustain growth into Q4, with Japan poised to see stronger gains as capex materializes.

2026-11-02

Macquarie FX and rates strategist Thierry Wizman says traders should prepare for a round of rate hikes in December. He assigns a subjective ~80% probability to a BOJ hike, ~66% to an ECB move and ~50% to a Fed hike, warning French instability could complicate ECB action as the bank may need to ensure France can continue to access capital markets. Wizman adds AI-driven capital spending should sustain growth into Q4, with Japan poised to see stronger gains as capex materializes.