EIA报告：美国最新一周馏分油库存降至2003年5月以来最低水平。

Brent crude fell as much as 10% on Wednesday after the US midterm elections as markets pushed up bets that tensions with Iran will ease. US Vice President Vance publicly attributed the Republican loss to the Iran war, reinforcing expectations the Trump administration may seek diplomatic channels to avoid escalation; Senate Democratic leader Schumer said he would press to end the Iran war. Atlantic Council senior fellow Ben Cahill and Raymond James analyst Pavel Molchanov cited Vance’s comments as a key catalyst, and a Marshall Wace strategist said markets are pricing in potential constraints from Congress and figures inside the administration on war decisions. Analysts warn it remains unclear whether Vance’s remarks signal a genuine policy shift; a sustained fall in oil prices would require a durable diplomatic de‑escalation between the US and Iran.

预测平台Kalshi数据显示，特朗普任内被弹劾的可能性飙升至78.7%。