英国央行：不利情景显示，2027年第三季度CPI峰值将达6.2%。

El Nifio's continued strengthening has pushed forecasts toward a potentially record-warm US winter, which would materially reduce heating and power-sector natural gas demand. Commodity Weather Group president Matt Rogers said heating-degree weighted October was the third warmest since 1950 and the trend should intensify; November is likely to be the warmest on record, and the core winter (Dec–Feb) and the Nov–Mar heating season are also projected to be record warm. The pattern already hit US gas producers and bullish traders in October. CFTC weekly data show funds have built record gross short positions in US natural gas futures and hold net shorts at their largest level since February 2020, reflecting sharply bearish market positioning.

China's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and the China Meteorological Administration on Nov 5 issued a farmland waterlogging risk alert for Nov 6-7, forecasting moderate to heavy rain with locally heavy to torrential downpours across southern Anhui, southern Hubei, central-northern Hunan, central-northern Jiangxi and eastern Guizhou. Rainfall overlaps prior precipitation, raising elevated waterlogging risk for farmland—particularly southeastern Hubei and northwestern Jiangxi—and posing risks to autumn sowing and normal crop growth.