盛宝银行分析师Ole S Hansen：市场对美联储加息的预期持续降温。这一趋势最初源于本周早些时候能源价格的大幅下跌，近期又受到美国科技板块再度走软的影响。上述因素共同缓解了通胀担忧，同时也引发了对经济增长韧性的质疑，促使交易员下调了对未来货币政策进一步收紧的预期。

UK inflation rose to 3.5% YoY, above the Bank of England’s July forecast of 3%, driven chiefly by a near-30% YoY jump in fuel prices tied to the Iran war. Traders have largely priced in a BoE rate rise tonight, so the move itself may have limited impact on sterling; market focus should be on the BoE’s signalling for 2027, when it has said inflation could be slightly above 4% in early 2027. The BoE noted in September minutes there is so far little evidence of second‑round wage‑price effects, but July research found that once inflation exceeds roughly 3–3.5% an oil-price shock more than doubles its typical impact on inflation. The hike is expected to pass roughly 7–2, with Taylor and Dhingra the most likely dissenters; a closer vote would imply weaker support for further tightening.

Japan's TOPIX fell to its lowest level since April, with the latest decline exceeding 6%.