Brent fell more than 3% to about $95/bbl, extending its biggest weekly drop since April 2020, after an unverified Israeli media report said Iran had stepped back from seeking control of the Strait of Hormuz and charging transit fees. President Trump earlier said he is "extremely unlikely" to order a major strike unless Iran signs a "very strong" deal, and a decisive Democratic midterm result has eased market fears of severe escalation, pulling prices down from a late‑October six‑month high. Unce

2026-11-09

Brent fell more than 3% to about $95/bbl, extending its biggest weekly drop since April 2020, after an unverified Israeli media report said Iran had stepped back from seeking control of the Strait of Hormuz and charging transit fees. President Trump earlier said he is "extremely unlikely" to order a major strike unless Iran signs a "very strong" deal, and a decisive Democratic midterm result has eased market fears of severe escalation, pulling prices down from a late‑October six‑month high. Uncertainty persists: IRIB reported a US overnight strike on Qeshm Island, and US Secretary of State Rubio downplayed the odds of a breakthrough in talks.

其他消息
2026-11-09

U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has opened a recall investigation into 2,895 Waymo autonomous vehicles after finding they failed to stop for school buses and repeatedly violated traffic safety rules.

2026-11-09

此次芯片股下跌反映出市场对数据中心建设成本与速度的不确定性,而非对前景的突然恶化。这似乎也更像是一次风险削减事件,而非基本面发生实质性变化。国会加强监督确实可能加大数据中心建设和AI监管的审查力度。然而,除非出现大范围的AI安全问题,否则我们认为广泛的联邦限制措施很可能会面临立法和总统层面的制约。 尽管州和地方层面的政治阻力可能会延迟、转移或提高数据中心项目的成本,但这不太可能改变潜在需求。拟议中的美国约400吉瓦的产能已远超我们到2030年约90吉瓦的建设假设。因此,我们认为监管可能重新分配并延长投资周期,而非使其脱轨,电力获取、许可审批、融资和执行能力将日益成为领先者与落后者之间的分水岭。 AI相关的潜在需求也依然强劲。最近的财报显示云收入加速增长,计算能力的预订单不断增加。我们预测2026年AI资本支出总额为1.0万亿美元,2027年为1.4万亿美元,2028年为1.5万亿美元。 要让此次抛售预示AI投资周期的持久下行,我们认为需要看到以下证据:AI相关收入增长放缓、云利用率走弱,或AI成本下降未能产生足够的新增使用量来消化不断扩张的产能。此外,如果算法效率的提升大幅降低了计算需