US producer prices rose again in October, recording the largest annual increase
in four years and reinforcing market expectations that the Fed could continue to
tighten after next month’s widely expected rate rise. The Bureau of Labor
Statistics said Oct PPI rose 0.3% MoM (consensus 0.4%); the prior month was
revised to 1.4% MoM. Goods prices rose 0.5%, led by food and basic organic
chemicals; services increased 0.2%, marking the fifth straight monthly gain. Oct
PPI climbed 6.5% YoY, the biggest annual jump since Nov 2022 (Sep 6.3%). The
report follows an upside surprise in Oct CPI and a strong Oct nonfarm payrolls
print that pushed the unemployment rate down to 4.1% from 4.2%. Comments from
Fed governor Waller have left markets oscillating between pricing a 25bp move in
December and leaving room for a 50bp hike.