China’s export growth likely moderated in March after a strong start to the year, while still providing support to the economy, according to a Wall Street Journal survey of economists. Outbound shipments are expected to have risen 8.0% year-on-year in March, slowing from a 21.8% gain in January–February. Import growth likely eased to 7.0% from 19.8% over the same period. The survey also projects China’s trade surplus at $113 billion for the month.

2026-04-13

China’s export growth likely moderated in March after a strong start to the year, while still providing support to the economy, according to a Wall Street Journal survey of economists. Outbound shipments are expected to have risen 8.0% year-on-year in March, slowing from a 21.8% gain in January–February. Import growth likely eased to 7.0% from 19.8% over the same period. The survey also projects China’s trade surplus at $113 billion for the month.