In June, 96.9% chance of Fed to keep rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%; 3.1% chance
of 25 bps rate cut to 3.25%-3.50%.
In Sept., 89.7% chance of Fed to keep rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%; 10.0%
chance of 25 bps rate cut to 3.25%-3.50%; 0.3% chance of 50 bps rate cut to
3.00%-3.25%