Federal Reserve Vice Chair JEFFERSON: The United States is not immune to oil-related energy shocks.

美國4月PCE物價指數年率 3.8%，預期3.8%，前值3.50%。

Chicago Fed President GOOLSBEE on Thursday reinforced his warning that growing market expectations of AI-driven productivity gains could lift inf and prompt the Federal Reserve and other central banks to tighten policy. GOOLSBEE said: “The stronger the hype about future productivity, the higher rates may need to be to prevent the economy from overheating. More importantly, facing short-term supply shocks — whether from oil prices, supply‑chain disruptions or other factors — will make the problem worse.” He said these remarks expand on a view he first aired publicly earlier this month, when he challenged the notion that AI will be disinflationary and therefore create scope for central-bank rate cuts — a view embraced by many Trump administration officials and by the Fed’s new chair Woshe. GOOLSBEE noted that in the 1990s broader computer adoption unexpectedly raised US productivity and supported rapid growth without triggering inf, but warned that if productivity gains are already priced into market expectations the dynamics change: markets may front‑load spending and push up prices before real productivity gains materialize.