CITIC Securities research says as newly arrived supply is largely absorbed by
demand, previously hidden older inventory is gradually surfacing. SMM (Shanghai
Metals Market) has adjusted its inventory structure to raise sample coverage of
traders and cell makers, rendering traders' hidden stock and cell makers'
customer-supplied reserves visible. The new-sample latest weekly inventory stood
at 137,000 t, down 0.8% WoW; the old-sample weekly inventory was 101,000 t, down
1.2% WoW. During the week, as prices fell further, purchase intent strengthened,
restocking willingness rose and buying activity became active. Lithium carbonate
output edged lower this week, mainly due to spodumene-line maintenance; due to
tight feedstock, output is expected to remain on a downward trend in May–June.
Downstream energy-storage production scheduling remains at a high level and a
rebound in demand momentum provides base support, leaving lithium prices in a
short-term consolidation phase.