AI-driven buying pushed emerging Asian equities to record highs, with the MSCI
Emerging Markets index up as much as 2% Monday, led by Korea and Taiwan AI
leaders. MOODY'S analyst Denise Cheok said AI momentum persists despite multiple
risks, providing a tailwind for parts of Southeast Asia tied to the tech
ecosystem but concentration raises the risk of a sudden drop in AI demand.
Rising oil prices and a stronger USD are straining external finances of fuel
net-importing Asian economies and weighing on their currencies; the Indonesian
rupiah and Indian rupee are the worst performers YTD. Wee Khoon Chong,
Asia-Pacific markets strategist at a New York-based bank, said equity strength
has not translated into currency gains, with USD strength, the crude rebound and
recent deterioration in trade terms the main drags on many APAC currencies.