Commerzbank says the ECB would need to signal tightening that exceeds market expectations to trigger a sizable euro rebound. Markets currently price just under three hikes this year, making a large euro rally challenging. The ECB could hike next Thursday and may hint at a second move, but a materially stronger signal would require fresh forecasts showing a notable rise in inf risks — which Commerzbank views as unlikely. An end to the Iran war would offer a larger upside to the euro even if the E

韓國勞動部長：擔憂前所未有的人工智能利潤加劇韓國的不平等現象。

The UK government has raised its domestic crude price forecast, saying oil could remain around $100/bbl until 2028 even if the US and Iran reach a peace deal, because Gulf energy supplies are now expected to take longer to restore. New government analysis warns energy-price pressures are higher than previously projected and that the global economic outlook has worsened. The government had earlier assumed Gulf supply would recover about six months after hostilities end; it now estimates recovery could take up to 14 months.