Oxford Economics head of Japan research Shigeto Nagai said the Bank of Japan is
more likely to raise its policy rate from 0.75% to 1.00% in June rather than
July, citing rising global inflation concerns and market pricing of further Fed
hikes over the next year. He warned a delayed hike would disappoint markets and
could trigger further yen weakness, but flagged uncertainty from the Middle East
conflict — and Japan's sensitivity to trade shocks — as a reason for caution.