CLSA says Geely Automobile (00175.HK) is accelerating overseas expansion after
May exports of 85,000 units; management said logistics constraints kept monthly
overseas orders below a potential 100,000. CLSA expects logistics to ease from
June, forecasting monthly exports of ~100,000, H2 exports of about 600,000 and
raising full-year export guidance to 1.06m units (≈32% of sales) from 800,000.
The broker maintains a high-conviction OUTPERFORM rating and HK$30 target price.
CLSA now forecasts 2026 total sales up 8.9% YoY to ~3.295m units, revenue down
1.8% to CNY 428.8 bln and net profit up 0.3% to CNY 19.64 bln.