Dubai crude physical premium turned negative for the first time since early 2026; it had reached $65/bbl in mid-March.

Economists say even if an Iran agreement is implemented, normalising shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and gas prices returning to pre‑conflict levels could take time. US inflation accelerated in May to the fastest pace in more than three years, but the rise likely has peaked. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup’s chief US economist, cautioned that short‑term energy and oil market forecasts are difficult but that the broader trajectory appears downward. News of a provisional Iran‑US agreement pushed oil prices lower and lifted equities; Stephen Stanley, chief US economist at Santander US Capital Markets, said markets are treating the deal as done and largely reverting toward pre‑conflict conditions.

ADP周度就業報告：截至2026年5月30日的四周裏，私人部門僱主平均每週增加25500個就業崗位。