Easing Middle East tensions and an imminent peace agreement have driven crude
sharply lower, deepening its negative adjustment. Zhuochuang Info calculates the
oil adjustment rate at -10.72% at the close on June 16 (ninth working day),
implying a roughly 475 yuan/ton cut to gasoline and diesel. With one trading day
before the pricing window, a large retail fuel price reduction at 24:00 on June
18 is likely and the final cut could exceed 500 yuan/ton. If implemented, this
would be the first consecutive retail price decline in China this year.