US May PCE price index y/y rose to 4.1%, the largest gain since April 2023 and
the first reading above 4.0% in three years, the US Commerce Department said.
Higher energy following recent US-led military action against Iran lifted oil
and gasoline prices; a fragile ceasefire has since eased oil and gasoline but
economists expect inflation to remain elevated for a period. Consumers had
already been contending with price increases from Trump-era import tariffs. The
Fed last week held the policy rate at 3.50%-3.75% but updated projections show
officials expect rate hikes this year amid rising inflation concerns; markets
price the first hike as early as September, with another likely thereafter.