Gold hit a daily high in European trade and extended a steady rebound after a modest dollar pullback, but remains capped inside the prior session's range as elevated Fed rate-hike expectations and geopolitical risk support the dollar. Traders are sidelined ahead of US nonfarm payrolls. CME FedWatch prices about a 64% chance of a September Fed hike and roughly an 85% chance of at least one hike by year-end. Fed chair Kevin Warsh reinforced the 2% inflation target in remarks Wednesday. Technically

Seasonally adjusted US nonfarm payrolls rose 57,000 in June, below market expectations for a 110,000 increase.

China International Capital Co said markets began to wobble in mid‑May and staged a partial recovery in early June but remain below prior peaks. Hot thematic sectors show high cumulative gains and crowding, and style rebalancing has gained traction. Internationally, transit through the Strait of Hormuz has eased crude supply disruption and pushed WTI toward about $70/bbl, easing upward pressure on global inflation; however Kevin Warsh's policy stance continues to intermittently influence US monetary expectations. Domestically, the A‑share market is entering interim‑results season; stronger July–August results are expected to support indices, CICC says prior volatility and rapid style rotation may be waning, and interim earnings should progressively become the main investment focus.