Elliot Hentov, chief macro policy strategist at State Street Global Advisors, said renewed escalation in the Middle East is unlikely to fundamentally alter the market outlook. Since April there has been little new evidence on either side’s willingness to escalate; neither side appears to seek a full resumption of hostilities, so the conflict may eventually subside. In SSGA’s spring war scenario the firm assumes Brent crude near $80/bbl for the remainder of the year to reflect residual risk under

Elliot Hentov, chief macro policy strategist at State Street Global Advisors, said renewed escalation in the Middle East is unlikely to fundamentally alter the market outlook. Since April there has been little new evidence on either side’s willingness to escalate; neither side appears to seek a full resumption of hostilities, so the conflict may eventually subside. In SSGA’s spring war scenario the firm assumes Brent crude near $80/bbl for the remainder of the year to reflect residual risk under any ceasefire.