Ian Ralby, senior fellow at the Center for Maritime Strategy and president of Auxilium Worldwide, warned the US‑Iran standoff around the Strait of Hormuz cannot be resolved by military means and that continued fighting would likely push up global fuel and food costs. He said one side wants to keep fighting while the other aims to degrade its opponent’s capabilities, a dynamic that tends to prolong conflict and could turn the Strait into a long‑term navigational risk. Affected parties may press f

2026-07-12

Ian Ralby, senior fellow at the Center for Maritime Strategy and president of Auxilium Worldwide, warned the US‑Iran standoff around the Strait of Hormuz cannot be resolved by military means and that continued fighting would likely push up global fuel and food costs. He said one side wants to keep fighting while the other aims to degrade its opponent’s capabilities, a dynamic that tends to prolong conflict and could turn the Strait into a long‑term navigational risk. Affected parties may press for renewed diplomacy, but Ralby said changing the dynamic will be difficult because both sides are volatile and have entrenched stakes in victory; Washington’s notion of victory is flexible, while Iran has a clear desire for retaliation, raising the prospect of sustained violence.

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