Analysts say FX futures net-long USD exposure has risen to $39.8bn, a 20-year high. CFTC data show non‑commercial accounts held about 13,300 net-long contracts in ICE Dollar Index futures as of July 7, indicating speculative bias toward the USD but not proof of an imminent turn. Market takeaway: USD can stay bid so long as US data and Fed commentary sustain higher‑for‑longer rate expectations, but elevated net-long positioning raises fragility — crowded longs increase the information threshold f

2026-07-13

Analysts say FX futures net-long USD exposure has risen to $39.8bn, a 20-year high. CFTC data show non‑commercial accounts held about 13,300 net-long contracts in ICE Dollar Index futures as of July 7, indicating speculative bias toward the USD but not proof of an imminent turn. Market takeaway: USD can stay bid so long as US data and Fed commentary sustain higher‑for‑longer rate expectations, but elevated net-long positioning raises fragility — crowded longs increase the information threshold for further gains. If US releases stop surprising to the upside or Fed rhetoric softens marginally, already-heavy long positions could magnify a USD pullback.

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2026-07-13

隔夜shibor報1.3720%,上漲1.19個基點;7天shibor報1.4000%,上漲1.7個基點;3個月shibor報1.4290%,上漲0.11個基點。點擊查看>>

2026-07-13

JP Morgan raised its price target for Zhipu (02513.HK) by 20% to HKD 2,400 from HKD 2,000, marking a second increase in one week (the bank moved the PT from HKD 1,800 to HKD 2,000 last Tuesday). JP Morgan said proceeds from a USD 4.0 bln equity placement will ease compute-supply bottlenecks and support further model-training investment; the bank added that new inference capacity could convert into annual recurring revenue within 12 months, analysts including Olivia Xu wrote. JP Morgan also cut i