China Index Academy says H1 policies continued to signal support for stabilizing
the property market. It expects further supply- and demand-side support measures
in H2, with policy focus on stabilizing expectations and promoting price
stability. The institute forecasts the property market will keep a
bottoming/repair trend in H2, with market divergence likely to deepen. For
new-home sales, a relatively low year-ago base in 2025 should help narrow
nationwide YoY declines in H2, but full market recovery will take time; ongoing
launches of higher-quality projects in core cities and continued policy support
will provide partial underpinning. On resales, transaction volumes in core
cities are expected to remain stable, listings are stabilizing and improving
supply–demand balance, and second‑hand home prices are likely to trade in a
narrow range in H2.