CLSA cuts its Baidu (BIDU.O) US target to $150 from $176 and keeps an OUTPERFORM
rating. The bank forecasts 2Q26 core revenue down 4.2% YoY to RMB25.1bn, with
search marketing revenue falling about 22% YoY. AI cloud infrastructure revenue
is seen up 56% YoY to RMB7.6bn and subscription revenue growth accelerating
further from 184% YoY in 1Q. CLSA forecasts adjusted EBIT for the quarter down
14% YoY to RMB3.8bn, implying an adjusted EBIT margin of roughly 15%, citing a
decline in high-margin online marketing revenue and higher model-training
investment. It warns that a bumpy AI transition, weak model competitiveness and
a cloud business lacking MaaS and application revenue could further pressure
search and cloud monetization. CLSA trims its 2026 and 2027 adjusted net profit
estimates by 24% and 18%, respectively.