CITIC Securities says U.S. Section 122 tariffs expire July 24 and Section 301
tariffs could become the primary substitute—essentially a replacement rather
than an escalation. After IEEPA tariff authority was overturned, the Trump
administration is building a new framework centered on routine executive trade
powers—a one-framework, three-tool approach—distinct from prior large-scale
reciprocal-tariff tactics. Overall, the latest tariff adjustments pose limited
global shock. Separately, the U.S. is using USMCA reviews as leverage to press
Mexico and Canada on rules of origin and market access; negotiations may
oscillate between tariff threats and concessions.