BofA analysts say the Stoxx Europe 600 is trading near record highs while consensus profit-margin expectations for European companies are at record levels, leaving the market exposed to disappointment. Key downside risks cited are AI-driven trading volatility, further escalation in the Middle East that could lift energy prices, and an elevated interest-rate outlook that could deepen European equities’ underperformance. The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.5% on Friday and is up 8.5% year-to-date.

2026-07-24

BofA analysts say the Stoxx Europe 600 is trading near record highs while consensus profit-margin expectations for European companies are at record levels, leaving the market exposed to disappointment. Key downside risks cited are AI-driven trading volatility, further escalation in the Middle East that could lift energy prices, and an elevated interest-rate outlook that could deepen European equities’ underperformance. The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.5% on Friday and is up 8.5% year-to-date.