CITIC Securities says A‑shares will win over the long term: the market’s upward
trend is intact, aggregate market capitalization is solid and investment
opportunities are broad; a handful of individual-stock bubbles exist but there
is no systemic risk, and industry upgrading and earnings growth are substantial.
By contrast, US equities carry high market‑wide bubble risk despite technology
and monetary edges, with industrial hollowing and price froth posing systemic
vulnerabilities. It lists eight comparative advantages for A‑shares: 1) total
market‑cap level, providing a safety‑margin advantage; 2) lower leverage scale,
supplying superior liquidity conditions; 3) different monetary/credit profile,
yielding a sovereign‑credit advantage; 4) a domestic AI development model,
offering AI outlook advantages; 5) faster industry renewal, enabling quicker
adoption of new sectors; 6) higher‑quality industrial chains; 7) stronger
industry earnings performance; 8) greater future revaluation potential.