Michael Wan, senior FX strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, says market
participants are likely to remain cautious on short-term yen bets given the risk
balance. Yen net-short positions remain near historic highs and Japanese
authorities may be trying to force position unwinds. Whether the yen can extend
Thursday’s 3.3% rally will likely depend on market reaction to the BOJ policy
meeting. Mitsubishi UFJ said it will remain cautious on USD/JPY into the weekend
and early next week.