Strategists say the US Treasury may have funded recent yen purchases with euros rather than dollars to avoid being seen to sell the dollar and undermine its strong-dollar policy. Two people familiar with the matter said the New York Fed last Friday asked at least two large US banks to check the yen–euro rate. David Forrest, a senior strategist based in Singapore, said Washington would want to avoid actions that look like weakening its currency for competitive advantage, which would contravene G2

2026-08-03

Strategists say the US Treasury may have funded recent yen purchases with euros rather than dollars to avoid being seen to sell the dollar and undermine its strong-dollar policy. Two people familiar with the matter said the New York Fed last Friday asked at least two large US banks to check the yen–euro rate. David Forrest, a senior strategist based in Singapore, said Washington would want to avoid actions that look like weakening its currency for competitive advantage, which would contravene G20 FX norms. Jason Wang, currency strategist at BNZ in Wellington, said using euros is politically less damaging, though the effect may be temporary because funds will eventually need to be reallocated back into euros, which could still entail dollar selling in a less transparent form.

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2026-08-03

上期所和上期能源上線套利指令,初期覆蓋原油、銅、黃金、螺紋鋼、天然橡膠等高流動性品種,核心不是改變商品漲跌方向,而是提升價差交易效率。過去做跨期套利,需要分別買賣兩個合約,容易出現一腿成交、一腿滑點的問題;套利指令上線後, 月差、期限結構、倉單變化和持倉遷移會更容易被機構和產業客戶直接交易。 這對原油、銅、黃金等金融屬性較強的品種尤其重要。原油看供需與地緣擾動,銅看庫存和現貨升貼水,黃金看利率和持倉成本,螺紋鋼看現實需求與遠期預期,橡膠看季節性供給和庫存週期。 套利指令會讓這些邏輯更快反映到近遠月價差中,而不是隻體現在主力合約漲跌上。 更長期看,交易所後續還可能拓展至其他品種,並推出跨品種套利組合。這意味着國內商品市場正在從單品種趨勢交易,逐步走向產業鏈價差、期限結構和跨品種定價。但需要注意,套利指令不等於無風險套利,它改變的是交易效率和價格發現能力。

2026-08-03

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