Signs US inflation have strengthened and bond traders are no longer fully pricing a Federal Reserve rate hike this year. A U.S. Treasury rally sent yields down as much as 9bp across maturities; the 30-year yield fell 8bp ahead of a new 30-year issue expected to price at the highest yield for that tenor since 2001. Benchmark oil dropped over 3% on Thursday — oil, the chief driver of UST moves since a late‑February US strike on Iran sparked a supply shock, is reinforcing views that US inflation ha

Signs US inflation have strengthened and bond traders are no longer fully pricing a Federal Reserve rate hike this year. A U.S. Treasury rally sent yields down as much as 9bp across maturities; the 30-year yield fell 8bp ahead of a new 30-year issue expected to price at the highest yield for that tenor since 2001. Benchmark oil dropped over 3% on Thursday — oil, the chief driver of UST moves since a late‑February US strike on Iran sparked a supply shock, is reinforcing views that US inflation has peaked. US data showed July PPI slowed and Wednesday’s CPI indicated inflation eased for a second consecutive month. Short-dated interest-rate contracts rallied, lowering implied policy rates and signalling traders are scaling back Fed hike bets.