俄羅斯國防部：防空部隊一天內擊落了438架烏克蘭無人機。

Rising intervention risk and higher rates have weakened yen funding, pushing carry traders toward Swiss franc financing. CFTC data for the week to Aug. 11 show hedge funds’ net short positions in the franc near a two-month high while they trimmed yen shorts for a second consecutive week. Tobias Jungmann, head of FX options at BofA in New York, said markets have increased franc short exposure to finance FX carry trades and that options are attractive given the franc’s vol-to-carry profile, allowing exposure with capped downside. The franc’s appeal rests on near-zero Swiss interest rates and the Swiss National Bank’s willingness to limit appreciation; by contrast, a late-July Japan–U.S. joint intervention raised yen volatility and curbed yen-funded trades.

8月18日，巴菲特指數（滬深300市值/GDP）回落至94.52%；股債性價比指標——滬深300指數股權風險溢價（ERP）爲5.24%，7月以來主要圍繞着5.2%波動，處於2024年10月以來波動區間下端，暗示目前股市相對國債收益的優勢一般。 -------- 注：1、巴菲特指數是通過將股市總市值和GDP來比較，判斷目前股市是否高估，通常70-100%爲正常估值，低於該區間爲低估，高於該區間爲高估。 2、滬深300指數風險溢價（ERP）主要對比滬深300收益和國債收益率，統計近10年數據可以發現該指標和股指有明顯反向關係，每次股市都處於底部區域時，風險溢價均超過6%，也就是當ERP≥6%，股市有投資性價比，而當ERP≤4%時，則股市往往接近或處於階段性高點，投資性價比低甚至要小心回調風險。