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FITCH expects UAE government debt to rise, and banks and corporates may opportunistically issue bonds.
2026-08-25
FITCH expects UAE government debt to rise, and banks and corporates may opportunistically issue bonds.
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2026-08-25
據泰晤士報:英國首相伯納姆因成本問題擱置泰晤士水務接管計劃。
據泰晤士報:英國首相伯納姆因成本問題擱置泰晤士水務接管計劃。
2026-08-25
Hedgeye guest Daniel Lacalle says US explicit debt (~$40 tln) is headline-grabbing but not necessarily the first crack. Official US estimates put the present-value shortfall for Social Security and Medicare at about $95 tln over 75 years—roughly 5% of the cumulative PV of expected GDP—and federal debt in 2026 is forecast at about 101% of annual GDP. By contrast, euro-area hidden fiscal liabilities are at least as large as headline debt: the European Commission estimates net accrued public pensio
Hedgeye guest Daniel Lacalle says US explicit debt (~$40 tln) is headline-grabbing but not necessarily the first crack. Official US estimates put the present-value shortfall for Social Security and Medicare at about $95 tln over 75 years—roughly 5% of the cumulative PV of expected GDP—and federal debt in 2026 is forecast at about 101% of annual GDP. By contrast, euro-area hidden fiscal liabilities are at least as large as headline debt: the European Commission estimates net accrued public pension liabilities at about 150% of GDP and total pension promises at roughly 371% of GDP after future contributions; this excludes most future health and long-term care costs. Several large euro-area states have unfunded commitments exceeding 300% of GDP. Political resistance to spending cuts, French sovereign yields now above Italy's, and negative real returns on euro-area sovereign assets since 2021 have reduced investor appetite. Lacalle warns the next sovereign shock could originate in the euro area because member states borrow in a currency they do not control and reported debt follows the EDP headline measure rather than total public-sector liabilities. He adds recent global bond selling signals markets believe central banks can no longer mask fiscal imprudence; US Treasuries remain the global monetary and collateral benchmark, but euro-area fiscal risks are comparatively larger.
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