A former U.S. diplomat said both U.S. and Iranian statements on the Strait of Hormuz are inaccurate: U.S. claims the strait is open are not entirely correct, and Iran’s assertions that it has closed the waterway are also false. Iran lacks the physical capability to fully seal the strait and instead relies on coercion—threats and missile strikes against unarmed merchant vessels—to try to compel compliance. Not all shipping is obeying Iran’s threats; some ships switch off AIS, run at night and hug

2026-08-26

A former U.S. diplomat said both U.S. and Iranian statements on the Strait of Hormuz are inaccurate: U.S. claims the strait is open are not entirely correct, and Iran’s assertions that it has closed the waterway are also false. Iran lacks the physical capability to fully seal the strait and instead relies on coercion—threats and missile strikes against unarmed merchant vessels—to try to compel compliance. Not all shipping is obeying Iran’s threats; some ships switch off AIS, run at night and hug the Omani coast. The U.S. military is deploying assets to protect vessels where possible.