All times Beijing. Sep 2 10:00 RBNZ rate decision: markets price a second
consecutive 25bp hike to 2.75%; ANZ says another hike in October remains likely.
Sep 2 21:45 BOC decision: markets expect a pause at 2.25%; Scotiabank projects
the policy rate rising to 2.75% by end‑2026 and to 3.0% in early‑2027. Sep 10
20:15 ECB decision: markets price a 25bp hike to 2.50%; sources say the ECB does
not intend to signal further hikes beyond September. Sep 17 02:00 Fed decision:
CME FedWatch shows a 60.4% chance of no change in September and 39.6% chance of
a cumulative 25bp hike; for October no‑change 45.7% and cumulative 25bp 44.7%.
Sep 17 19:00 Bank of England decision: markets expect the base rate to remain at
3.75% for the rest of the year; LSEG currently prices about 23bp of hikes by
year‑end. Sep 18 ~10:00 Bank of Japan decision: markets expect a 25bp hike to
1.25% in September; Goldman Sachs forecasts further hikes in Jan and Jul 2027
taking the policy rate to 1.75%. Sep 24 15:30 Swiss National Bank decision:
markets expect a zero policy rate through end‑2027 with a first hike not until
early‑2028; SNB executive councilor Tschudin said reintroducing negative rates
is not ruled out if inflation warrants. Sep 24 15:30 Riksbank decision: minutes
indicate further hikes this year remain possible if inflation stays above
expectations; Nomura expects rates unchanged this year and a first hike in Mar
2027. Sep 29 12:30 RBA decision: market odds of a September hike have risen;
Citigroup and ANZ expect a 25bp hike in November.
