Reto Cueni, chief economist, said markets could modestly increase expectations of a Fed rate hike ahead of the September meeting, but most participants still likely expect no move and his firm does not anticipate a hike. He said he maintains the view that the Fed will not raise rates in H2. LSEG money-market data currently assigns a 65% probability the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the September meeting.

2026-08-27

Reto Cueni, chief economist, said markets could modestly increase expectations of a Fed rate hike ahead of the September meeting, but most participants still likely expect no move and his firm does not anticipate a hike. He said he maintains the view that the Fed will not raise rates in H2. LSEG money-market data currently assigns a 65% probability the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the September meeting.