Commonwealth Bank of Australia FX strategist Samarra Hammoud says Fed chair
Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks will aim to: restore market confidence in the
Fed's commitment to curb inflation; allay fears of fiscal dominance; persuade
markets that less reliance on forward guidance will not harm financial
stability; and bolster confidence in Fed working groups. Hammoud calls the
agenda ambitious and warns communication alone may be insufficient, advising
market skepticism. Given Warsh's resistance to forward guidance, markets may
view his inflation remarks as not sufficiently hawkish; that could put downside
pressure on the USD.