NAB expects Australia to report weak Q2 GDP on Wednesday, forecasting QoQ growth of about 0.2% and YoY growth of 1.8%. NAB says weak growth reduces the chance of further RBA hikes, but warns persistently low productivity could maintain inflationary pressure even with slow growth; the RBA continues to prioritise inflation control. Calls for productivity-boosting reforms have largely stalled due to political cost, and RBA Governor Bullock said the federal government in Canberra must lead on reform

2026-09-01

NAB expects Australia to report weak Q2 GDP on Wednesday, forecasting QoQ growth of about 0.2% and YoY growth of 1.8%. NAB says weak growth reduces the chance of further RBA hikes, but warns persistently low productivity could maintain inflationary pressure even with slow growth; the RBA continues to prioritise inflation control. Calls for productivity-boosting reforms have largely stalled due to political cost, and RBA Governor Bullock said the federal government in Canberra must lead on reform.