JP Morgan strategists say consumer confidence and corporate profit growth appear
to have bottomed, creating scope for a turnaround in European luxury stocks.
Historically, following a trough in the University of Michigan consumer
sentiment index, the European luxury sector has outperformed the broader market
by about 9-12% over the subsequent 12 months. Despite ongoing earnings warnings
and cautious guidance across consumer cyclicals, JP Morgan is currently
overweight the luxury sector globally, citing a potential wealth-effect
recovery.