Thomas Ryan of Capital Economics said details in August’s jobs report mean the
BOC’s slightly unexpected hawkish pivot this week may now look premature.
Employment fell 41,700 in August; unemployment held at 6.4%. Wage growth slowed
to 2.0% YoY, the weakest 12‑month pace since 2021. Ryan said both Capital
Economics and the BOC view the Canadian economy as having spare capacity, and
that the August labour-market data should curb market pricing for an immediate
BOC rate hike.