Airbus's 2026–2045 global market forecast projects China will require 8,830 new aircraft over the next 20 years, >20% of projected global demand of 42,060 aircraft. Passenger traffic in China is forecast to grow at a 5.2% CAGR; per-capita annual flights are expected to rise from 0.5 in 2025 to 1.4 by 2045. China’s in-service passenger fleet is projected to reach 9,860 aircraft by 2045. Demand breakdown: about 7,480 single-aisle aircraft and 1,350 widebodies.

2026-09-08

Airbus's 2026–2045 global market forecast projects China will require 8,830 new aircraft over the next 20 years, >20% of projected global demand of 42,060 aircraft. Passenger traffic in China is forecast to grow at a 5.2% CAGR; per-capita annual flights are expected to rise from 0.5 in 2025 to 1.4 by 2045. China’s in-service passenger fleet is projected to reach 9,860 aircraft by 2045. Demand breakdown: about 7,480 single-aisle aircraft and 1,350 widebodies.