Morgan Stanley says DRAM prices are up over 600% YoY and likely near 700% in Q3;
to widen the YoY gain in Q4, prices would need to rise roughly 70% QoQ. While
DRAM supply-demand has not materially changed, price momentum appears to be
approaching a peak, and Morgan Stanley expects the DRAM cycle to move into a
late phase in Q4 2026. That transition could weigh on sentiment for
semiconductor-equipment stocks with high memory exposure, though AI-driven
structural demand may offer some support (Morgan Stanley, Sept. 8).