CSC Financial said in a research note that US August CPI was broadly in line with consensus while core CPI surprised higher; the rise appears driven by one-off service volatility and is unlikely to persist. After the print, markets raised the probability of a September Fed hike to 87%, leaving near-term tightening largely priced and triggering a sell-the-news move that pushed gold down then back up. The firm expects that unless the Fed signals sustained hikes, the policy headwind for gold is exh

CSC Financial said in a research note that US August CPI was broadly in line with consensus while core CPI surprised higher; the rise appears driven by one-off service volatility and is unlikely to persist. After the print, markets raised the probability of a September Fed hike to 87%, leaving near-term tightening largely priced and triggering a sell-the-news move that pushed gold down then back up. The firm expects that unless the Fed signals sustained hikes, the policy headwind for gold is exhausted and the metal should bottom and rebound: a September hike would be a priced-in outcome; a pause would relieve short-term rate pressure and, combined with gold’s role as a credit hedge, support a recovery.