CITIC Securities research: Metals-sector earnings growth accelerated in 1H2026, led by tungsten, aluminium, lead‑zinc and other rare metals. Copper, rare‑earth magnetic materials, gold and nickel‑cobalt‑tin‑antimony also posted strong gains; lithium swung to profitability. Sector valuations remain broadly reasonable; aluminium, copper, lithium and nickel‑cobalt‑tin‑antimony trade at relatively low multiples and offer re‑rating potential. Industry positioning has returned to neutral and payout ra

2026-09-15

CITIC Securities research: Metals-sector earnings growth accelerated in 1H2026, led by tungsten, aluminium, lead‑zinc and other rare metals. Copper, rare‑earth magnetic materials, gold and nickel‑cobalt‑tin‑antimony also posted strong gains; lithium swung to profitability. Sector valuations remain broadly reasonable; aluminium, copper, lithium and nickel‑cobalt‑tin‑antimony trade at relatively low multiples and offer re‑rating potential. Industry positioning has returned to neutral and payout ratios slipped, though some sub-sectors still yield above 5%. Looking to H2, the firm expects liquidity shocks to ease, supply disruptions to rise and demand to sustain mild growth; it flags gold, copper, strategic metals, rare earths, aluminium and lithium as key areas to watch.

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2026-09-15

9月14日,巴菲特指數(滬深300市值/GDP)回落至91.11%,近期一直維持窄幅波動狀態。股債性價比指標——滬深300指數股權風險溢價(ERP)爲5.75%,維持在2025年8月15日的高點水平附近;從大週期來看該指標從過去五年波動區間下端逐步向中間區域靠近,暗示目前股市相對國債收益的優勢有所上升,迴歸中性水平。 -------- 注:1、巴菲特指數是通過將股市總市值和GDP來比較,判斷目前股市是否高估,通常70-100%爲正常估值,低於該區間爲低估,高於該區間爲高估。2、滬深300指數風險溢價(ERP)主要對比滬深300收益和國債收益率,統計近10年數據可以發現該指標和股指有明顯反向關係,每次股市都處於底部區域時,風險溢價均超過6%,也就是當ERP≥6%,股市有投資性價比,而當ERP≤4%時,則股市往往接近或處於階段性高點,投資性價比低甚至要小心回調風險。

2026-09-14

Yemen's Houthi movement said on the 14th it fired dozens of ballistic missiles and drones at an air force base in southwestern Saudi Arabia.